Skip to main content

Notes to self: Lessons from Kenya election 2017

Never underestimate your opponent. It's better to be overprepared than underprepared. Therefore, prepare, learn your competitor's tricks, weaknesses and tactics and use them against them. It is highly likely that the Jubilee side leaked to the NASA side about the hacking of the IEBC servers knowing full well that NASA would lap it up. NASA presented "evidence" based on MSSQL architecture, while the IEBC says that its database runs on Oracle. Whatever the case, the NASA side presented a weak case that has not convinced many stakeholders.

Invest in your team and FULLY prepare your agents. Perform your trainings thoroughly. Run a tight ship. Have no room for leakages or moles or people who are easily bought. It is said that a lot of NASA's agents at the various polling stations were bought and did not protect RAO's votes. Ensure that you pay your agents well, and let them know that there's more rewards for their loyalty. Have no time for infighting, let your people know who is boss, what their roles are, and what you expect of them.

After elections, you need to quickly move ahead, whether you lose or win. You need to lick your wounds, strategize on the way forward, and follow it. Further, take a break from it all, go away for a couple of weeks, and when you come back, your mind will be clear.  In addition, have a strategy to become part of the WINNING TEAM, whether or NOT you are leading it. Concede quickly, congratulate the winner in public and work with him/her to move your constituency forward. Whether or not you disagree with your competitors, your people are better served when you are working with the government of the day.

ALWAYS prepare two speeches, a victory speech, and a concession speech. Be humble enough to realize that you may lose the elections. However, have the courage to go out and contest for the position you want. Be confident in your chances of winning the elections. Trust that your message is right, and that people will vote for you.

Image courtesy of http://www.aitonline.tv

Recognize that voters are fickle beings. They say that they will vote for you, but on the ballot day, they might be persuaded otherwise. I have heard that a number of people on the last weekend changed their votes from Raila to Uhuru, simply because Uhuru led a prayer at a rally in Nakuru. Other people thought that Raila's message on August 5th, the last day of campaigning, was too inflammatory and arrogant. They said that they could not vote for someone who spoke like he "deserved" to be president. While they may not form a majority, Raila may have lost a lot of goodwill by becoming too agitated.

Don't burn your bridges because of political power. Do NOT make enemies because of elections and the euphoric moment. Additionally, do not condemn others who disagree with you, especially your family, friends and neighbors. Our society is such that we need one another during the intervening period between elections. We should not let our political stances make the one year of campaigns hell for society.

Elections come and go, and there are usually more losers than winners. The probability of losing an election is higher than that of winning. The 2017 elections saw more than sixteen thousand compete for 1800 positions (see here). That means that contestants had a 1 in 10 chance of winning, or a 9 in 10 chance of losing (some higher, others lower, depending on the position and area). It's quite a spectacle, therefore, to see so many people becoming bewildered that they lost. Needless to say, many had not done the math. Hence, invest your resources (time, moneys, energy and goodwill) wisely.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Opportunities and challenges presented by the AfCFTA

President Kenyatta joined other African heads of state on March 21 in signing the #AfCFTA. What does this mean for Kenya? It means that Kenya's goods and services could have a broader market to sell to. It also means that locally made goods and services will face increased competition from similar products in the African market, especially if other countries have a comparative advantage. What is the projected net effect of these two sides of trade? Well, it's difficult to predict. It depends on which goods are on the schedule of reduction of tariffs both for other countries and Kenya. Pres. Kenyatta signs the AfCFTA Image courtesy of PSCU   Looking at other similar regional pacts such as North America's #NAFTA or the EU, we can see that trade between countries increases many fold. But as in the case of Mexico which saw the bankrupting of peasant farmers due to cheap corn and other agricultural produce from subsidized American farms, the aggregate effect might be po...

Day 2: To Bali, New Year's Eve

We spent most of new year's eve in transit. We left Ibis Styles Hotel at 10.30am, got to Jakarta international airport, got our tickets to Denpasar (in Bali) and left for Bali about 2.30pm (about 30mins late due to air traffic density at the airport) In transit at Jakarta Airport domestic departures; after check-in on the way to Denpasar Photobombed by Tom Hilde and Tom Jones We arrived in Denpasar around 7pm, where we met with Sunday who had arranged our transportation to Ubud. It took us the next hour and a half weaving through ever narrowing roadways towards Ubud, which is our home for the next six days. The driving in Bali immediately reminded me of Nairobi. Traffic wasn’t too bad, but driving a car involved checking both sides of the mirror because scooters, mopeds and motorbikes weave in and out of lanes at breakneck speed, with little warning or caution. Further, while passing huge vehicles like buses and lorries, our drive honked twice to let the other car know...

No one knows what it's all about

We are all in a rat race, whose beginning we do not comprehend, and whose end we cannot fathom. Therefore, in typical human fashion, we have invented systems that keep us sane, as we try to figure out what it's all about. We invented religions, economic systems, socio-cultural systems, political systems and so on, all to make meaning out of our lonely and short existence. But all this has fallen short of fulfilling us. We know we are on a journey, but don't know a journey to where. We do not know how we will know once we get there. Is it possible that the destination is behind us, but we have not recognized it? "Preposterous," we think to ourselves. Aren't we higher beings able to shape our own paths? Would we not know where our paths are headed? History does not agree. Every system that has been built seems to have been the ultimate one. Political & economic systems have struggled to lay claim to the title of the "best" and most "sustainabl...